China Private Credit Market Size Booming to Touch USD 85 Billion by 2031

Published | 14 November 2025

China Private Credit Market is flourishing primarily due to the growing participation of Private Equity (PE) and Alternative Investment Funds (AIFs), a surging financial demand from the infrastructure and real estate sectors, and a widening credit gap for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs).

BlueWeave Consulting, a leading strategic consulting and market research firm, in its recent study, estimated China Private Credit Market size by value at USD 51.53 billion in 2024. During the forecast period between 2025 and 2031, BlueWeave expects China Private Credit Market size to grow at a significant CAGR of 7.37% reaching a value of USD 84.76 billion by 2031. The growth of Private Credit Market in China is propelled by resilient economic fundamentals and a rising need for alternative financing as traditional bank lending slows. The country’s stable macroeconomic environment, marked by a 5.2% GDP growth (YoY) during the second half of 2025 and a 0.2% inflation rate (YoY) in October 2025, has created a favorable credit environment. This backdrop has spurred a remarkable surge in private credit activity driven by a maturing market where investors are increasingly focused on risk management and targeted returns, and by a robust supply-side momentum from both global and domestic funds. Regulatory reforms are further strengthening China Private Credit Market, positioning private credit to become a significant asset class that fills crucial funding gaps in the mid-market, infrastructure, and real estate sectors.

Opportunity – Rapid Adoption of Green and Sustainable Credit

The growing emphasis on sustainable finance across the country is creating significant opportunities for China Private Credit Market. For instance, the expanded Green Credit Guidelines by the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) mandate banks to incorporate environmental and social risks into their lending decisions. Green Financial System Guidelines provide a detailed framework covering green bonds, insurance, and the national carbon trading scheme. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) offers incentives, including the Carbon Emission Reduction Facility (CERF). The CERF provides low-cost, preferential loans to financial institutions for qualifying green projects, and allows highly rated green bonds as collateral for central bank lending across sectors, including tree plantation, water management, sustainable agriculture, waste management, air pollution reduction, and green infrastructure, with credits that can be verified, certified, and traded through a dedicated platform. With increasing regulatory backing and incentives, the demand for green and sustainable financing in China Private Credit Market is poised to expand during the period under analysis.

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Impact of Escalating Geopolitical Tensions on China Private Credit Market

Intensifying geopolitical tensions, particularly with the United States, could have a multifaceted impact on the growth of China Private Credit Market by creating economic uncertainties, disrupting trade, and increasing capital market volatility. This instability could lead to rising borrowing costs, deterring investors, and tightening liquidity. Consequently, sectors reliant on global trade and financing face heightened challenges, while SMEs and startups may experience limited funding access. Ultimately, these uncertainties weaken investor sentiment and could restrain the growth of China Private Credit Market.

Competitive Landscape

China Private Credit Market is highly fragmented, with numerous players serving the market. Major companies dominating the market include CDH Private Credit, China Resources Trust, Ping An Trust, CITIC  Trust, China Cinda AMC, China Construction Bank (CCB), Sichuan Trust, China Orient AMC, and Zhongzhi Enterprise Group (Zhongrong Trust). The key marketing strategies adopted by the players are facility expansion, product diversification, alliances, collaborations, partnerships, and acquisitions to expand their customer reach and gain a competitive edge over their competitors in China Private Credit Market.

Don’t miss the business opportunity of China Private Credit Market. Consult our analysts to gain crucial insights and facilitate your business growth.

The report's in-depth analysis provides information about growth potential, upcoming trends, and China Private Credit Market statistics. It also highlights the factors driving forecasts of total market size. The report promises to provide recent technology trends in China Private Credit Market, along with industry insights to help decision-makers make sound strategic decisions. Furthermore, the report also analyses the growth drivers, challenges, and competitive dynamics of the market.

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